REGIS
PRIDEREG
0-0 | Road
47
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
5-6 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
50%
CRUSADERS
50%
PRIDE
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Holy Cross)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HC -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)
REG By 1-7 points
0.0%
REG By 8-14 points
0.0%
HC By 1-7 points
0.0%
HC By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Regis
70
REGIS
Holy Cross
113
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Regis
56
REGIS
Holy Cross
82
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Crusaders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
183
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
REG @ HC
47 - 69
Dec 29, 2024
REG @ HC
46 - 82
Nov 9, 2021
REG @ HC
51 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+45.9% more
Holy Cross: 13.1
vs
Regis: 9.0
Blocks (L5)
+27.8% more
Holy Cross: 1.7
vs
Regis: 1.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+19.9%
Holy Cross: 36.6%
vs
Regis: 16.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.4%
Holy Cross: 46.0%
vs
Regis: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
REG Score
70.0
47
HC Score
113.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 16.7
8.0 / 10.0
Assists
13.1 / 9.0
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.7 / 1.3
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 31.7
42.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 61.3
62.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 29.3
41.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 17.3
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
REG
--
HC
Advantage
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
REG
--
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
REG
--
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
REG
HC
REG
ML
52%
16-15
--
0-0
61%
19-12
--
0-0
ATS
55%
17-14
--
0-0
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
18-13
--
0-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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