AI Model Win Probability
AMBASSADORS
100%
MOCS
0%
AMBASSADORS
--
MOCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-62.0
CHATTANOOGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +62.0 points (Chattanooga)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTC -62.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTC)
OAKWO By 1-7 points
0.0%
OAKWO By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTC By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Oakwood
50
OAKWOOD
Chattanooga
112
CHATTANOOGA
Simulated Score
Oakwood
60
OAKWOOD
Chattanooga
88
CHATTANOOGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mocs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mocs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mocs (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -62.0
D
Sim
Mocs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
OAKWO @ UTC
46 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.3% more
Chattanooga: 14.8
vs
Oakwood: 12.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.6%
Chattanooga: 77.9%
vs
Oakwood: 60.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+10.1% more
Chattanooga: 32.8
vs
Oakwood: 29.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Chattanooga: 36.1%
vs
Oakwood: 27.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OAKWO Score
50.0
46
UTC Score
112.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 27.7
43.0 / 10.0
Assists
14.8 / 12.1
25.0 / 5.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.3
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 37.8
49.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 60.3
62.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 29.8
57.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.3
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 17.8
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAKWO
--
UTC
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAKWO
--
UTC
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OAKWO
--
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTC
OAKWO
UTC
OAKWO
ML
48%
15-16
100%
3-0
53%
16-14
100%
3-0
ATS
52%
16-15
100%
3-0
55%
17-14
100%
3-0
TTL
77%
24-7
67%
2-1
100%
31-0
100%
3-0