DOANE
TIGERSDOAN
0-0 | Road
70
OMAHA
MAVERICKSOMA
5-7 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
MAVERICKS
0%
TIGERS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Omaha)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OMA -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)
DOAN By 1-7 points
5.8%
DOAN By 8-14 points
1.4%
OMA By 1-7 points
16.9%
OMA By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Doane
64
DOANE
Omaha
78
OMAHA
Simulated Score
Doane
60
DOANE
Omaha
88
OMAHA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
DOAN @ OMA
70 - 79
Nov 6, 2023
DOAN @ OMA
53 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+217.0% more
Omaha: 3.0
vs
Doane: 0.8
Assists (L5)
+72.8% more
Omaha: 13.8
vs
Doane: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+18.0% more
Omaha: 35.3
vs
Doane: 29.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Omaha: 44.5%
vs
Doane: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DOAN Score
64.0
70
OMA Score
78.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 31.4
35.0 / 34.0
Assists
13.8 / 8.0
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.0 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 38.1
52.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 71.1
71.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 29.9
38.0 / 23.0
Steals
4.2 / 4.9
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 17.2
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DOAN
--
OMA
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DOAN
--
OMA
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DOAN
--
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OMA
DOAN
OMA
DOAN
ML
79%
26-7
100%
1-0
67%
22-11
100%
1-0
ATS
76%
25-8
100%
1-0
67%
22-11
100%
1-0
TTL
73%
24-9
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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