AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
100%
OWLS
0%
MONARCHS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
STL By 1-7 points
15.3%
STL By 8-14 points
5.8%
FAU By 1-7 points
26.2%
FAU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Leo
61
SAINT LEO
Florida Atlantic
68
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
Saint Leo
58
SAINT LEO
Florida Atlantic
92
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
STL @ FAU
55 - 112
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
61.0
55
FAU Score
68.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 0.0
38.0 / 21.0
Assists
11.1 / 0.0
18.0 / 8.0
Blocks
6.2 / 0.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 0.0
53.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 0.0
100.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 0.0
52.0 / 23.0
Steals
5.9 / 0.0
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 0.0
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
--
FAU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
--
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
--
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
STL
FAU
STL
ML
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0