AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
100%
PIONEERS
0%
SEAWOLVES
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
UAA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UAA By 8-14 points
0.0%
DEN By 1-7 points
0.0%
DEN By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Alaska Anchorage
46
ALASKA ANCHORAGE
Denver
93
DENVER
Simulated Score
Alaska Anchorage
60
ALASKA ANCHORAGE
Denver
82
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pioneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pioneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pioneers (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Pioneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
UAA @ DEN
61 - 97
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAA Score
46.0
61
DEN Score
93.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 0.0
47.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.7 / 0.0
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.3 / 0.0
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 0.0
55.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 0.0
83.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 0.0
39.0 / 23.0
Steals
4.5 / 0.0
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 0.0
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAA
--
DEN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAA
--
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UAA
--
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
UAA
DEN
UAA
ML
56%
18-14
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
ATS
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
19-13
0%
0-1
100%
32-0
100%
1-0