Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Badgers @ Skyhawks VTSJ @ STO

VERMONT STATE - JOHNSON

BADGERSVTSJ

0-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Fri, Dec 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Merkert Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

STONEHILL

SKYHAWKSSTO

3-8  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
100%
📊
SKYHAWKS
0%
BADGERS --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Stonehill)
BadgersVTSJ (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksSTO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Badgers Cover

0.0%

Skyhawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STO -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)

VTSJ By 1-7 points

0.0%

VTSJ By 8-14 points

0.0%

STO By 1-7 points

0.0%

STO By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
46
VERMONT STATE - JOHNSON
90
STONEHILL
Simulated Score
55
VERMONT STATE - JOHNSON
92
STONEHILL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 12, 2025 VTSJ @ STO 60 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +264.5% more
Stonehill: 4.0 vs Vermont State - Johnson: 1.1
Rebounding (L5) +35.6% more
Stonehill: 35.9 vs Vermont State - Johnson: 26.5
Assists (L5) +18.7% more
Stonehill: 11.4 vs Vermont State - Johnson: 9.6
Free Throw % (L5) +13.3%
Stonehill: 67.1% vs Vermont State - Johnson: 53.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VTSJ Score 46.0 60
STO Score 90.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 30.8 41.0 / 32.0
Assists 11.4 / 9.6 23.0 / 4.0
Blocks 4.0 / 1.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 35.6 53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 53.8 75.0 / 40.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 26.5 48.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.4 / 5.1 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 14.8 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VTSJ
--
STO Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VTSJ
--
STO Advantage
14-15-2 (48.3%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
VTSJ
--
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STO
VTSJ
STO
VTSJ
ML
45% 15-18
100% 3-0
70% 23-10
100% 3-0
ATS
39% 13-20
100% 3-0
70% 23-10
100% 3-0
TTL
55% 18-15
67% 2-1
100% 33-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 59 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
saturdaydownsouth 2 days, 6 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 4 days, 23 hours ago