SPURGEON COLLEGE
KNIGHTSSPU
0-0 | Road
75
KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
2-9 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
ROOS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
ROOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KC -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
SPU By 1-7 points
5.8%
SPU By 8-14 points
1.4%
KC By 1-7 points
16.9%
KC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Spurgeon College
35
SPURGEON COLLEGE
Kansas City
49
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Spurgeon College
48
SPURGEON COLLEGE
Kansas City
92
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Roos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Roos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Roos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
SPU @ KC
75 - 102
Jan 24, 2022
SPU @ KC
44 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+100.0% more
Kansas City: 10.0
vs
Spurgeon College: 5.0
Steals (L5)
+94.0% more
Kansas City: 7.8
vs
Spurgeon College: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+43.7% more
Kansas City: 33.1
vs
Spurgeon College: 23.0
Blocks (L5)
+11.7% more
Kansas City: 3.4
vs
Spurgeon College: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SPU Score
35.0
75
KC Score
49.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.9 / 26.0
56.0 / 28.0
Assists
10.0 / 5.0
21.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.0
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.4 / 35.0
56.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 71.0
73.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 23.0
52.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.8 / 4.0
4.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 26.0
20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
--
KC
Advantage
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
--
KC
Advantage
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
--
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
SPU
KC
SPU
ML
63%
19-11
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
ATS
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
TTL
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
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