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EUREKA

RED DEVILSERKA

0-0  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 2:00 PM ET
First Community Arena
View Odds Details →

SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

7-4  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
RED DEVILS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
RED DEVILS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
Red DevilsERKA (-3.5) 0 CougarsSIUE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Devils Cover

9.7%

Cougars Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIUE -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)

ERKA By 1-7 points

6.8%

ERKA By 8-14 points

1.7%

SIUE By 1-7 points

18.6%

SIUE By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
55
EUREKA
68
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
55
EUREKA
88
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 ERKA @ SIUE 54 - 97
Dec 15, 2024 ERKA @ SIUE 52 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +122.9% more
SIU Edwardsville: 3.7 vs Eureka: 1.7
Assists (L5) +42.6% more
SIU Edwardsville: 15.0 vs Eureka: 10.5
Rebounding (L5) +22.3% more
SIU Edwardsville: 34.8 vs Eureka: 28.5
Steals (L5) +21.2% more
SIU Edwardsville: 8.6 vs Eureka: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ERKA Score 55.0 54
SIUE Score 68.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 25.6 32.0 / 28.0
Assists 15.0 / 10.5 21.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.7 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 32.9 51.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 64.4 / 64.5 62.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 28.5 42.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.6 / 7.1 16.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 7.9 / 17.9 9.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ERKA
--
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ERKA
--
SIUE Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ERKA
--
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
ERKA
SIUE
ERKA
ML
65% 20-11
100% 2-0
60% 18-12
100% 2-0
ATS
55% 17-14
100% 2-0
60% 18-12
100% 2-0
TTL
48% 15-16
50% 1-1
100% 30-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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