Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Braves NCC @ BRAD

NORTH CENTRAL COLLEGE

CARDINALSNCC

0-0  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 2:00 PM ET
Carver Arena
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

7-4  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
BRAVES
0%
CARDINALS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Bradley)
CardinalsNCC (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

0.2%

Braves Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)

NCC By 1-7 points

0.1%

NCC By 8-14 points

0.0%

BRAD By 1-7 points

1.4%

BRAD By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
73
NORTH CENTRAL COLLEGE
102
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
52
NORTH CENTRAL COLLEGE
88
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 NCC @ BRAD 53 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +838.0% more
Bradley: 9.4 vs North Central College: 1.0
Assists (L5) +30.7% more
Bradley: 13.1 vs North Central College: 10.0
Free Throw % (L5) +18.0%
Bradley: 74.0% vs North Central College: 56.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Bradley: 45.9% vs North Central College: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCC Score 73.0 53
BRAD Score 102.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 44.0 28.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.1 / 10.0 15.0 / 7.0
Blocks 5.2 / 5.0 1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 43.0 46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 74.0 / 56.0 59.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 32.0 37.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.4 / 1.0 19.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 23.0 9.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCC
--
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCC
--
BRAD Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCC
--
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
NCC
BRAD
NCC
ML
65% 22-12
100% 1-0
68% 23-11
100% 1-0
ATS
59% 20-14
100% 1-0
68% 23-11
100% 1-0
TTL
68% 23-11
0% 0-1
100% 34-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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