AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
SKYHAWKS
0%
TIGERS
--
SKYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (UT Martin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTM -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)
CHCC By 1-7 points
0.0%
CHCC By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTM By 1-7 points
0.1%
UTM By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Champion Christian
49
CHAMPION CHRISTIAN
UT Martin
88
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
Champion Christian
52
CHAMPION CHRISTIAN
UT Martin
98
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Skyhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim
Skyhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
CHCC @ UTM
52 - 96
Dec 15, 2024
CHCC @ UTM
56 - 123
Nov 6, 2023
CHCC @ UTM
76 - 104
Nov 12, 2022
CHCC @ UTM
65 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+36.4% more
UT Martin: 39.7
vs
Champion Christian: 29.1
Steals (L5)
+30.8% more
UT Martin: 8.7
vs
Champion Christian: 6.6
Blocks (L5)
+21.4% more
UT Martin: 4.2
vs
Champion Christian: 3.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
UT Martin: 39.0%
vs
Champion Christian: 31.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHCC Score
49.0
52
UTM Score
88.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 25.5
35.0 / 23.0
Assists
13.0 / 13.6
23.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.5
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
39.0 / 31.8
45.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
63.1 / 66.9
70.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
39.7 / 29.1
65.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.6
14.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 21.7
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHCC
--
UTM
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHCC
--
UTM
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHCC
--
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
CHCC
UTM
CHCC
ML
69%
22-10
100%
5-0
69%
20-9
100%
5-0
ATS
56%
18-14
100%
5-0
69%
20-9
100%
5-0
TTL
44%
14-18
40%
2-3
100%
29-0
100%
5-0