Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Hilltoppers CBVU @ WKU

CAMPBELLSVILLE

TIGERSCBVU

0-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Mon, Dec 15 • 7:30 PM ET
E.A. Diddle Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

7-3  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
0%
TIGERS --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Western Kentucky)
TigersCBVU (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

2.9%

Hilltoppers Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WKU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)

CBVU By 1-7 points

2.2%

CBVU By 8-14 points

0.4%

WKU By 1-7 points

9.3%

WKU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
86
CAMPBELLSVILLE
105
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
61
CAMPBELLSVILLE
92
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers (-13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Win
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 15, 2025 CBVU @ WKU 59 - 102
Nov 12, 2024 CBVU @ WKU 76 - 104
Nov 29, 2023 CBVU @ WKU 77 - 101
Nov 18, 2019 CBVU @ WKU 66 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +110.0% more
Western Kentucky: 6.9 vs Campbellsville: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +12.1% more
Western Kentucky: 41.8 vs Campbellsville: 37.3
Blocks (L5) +10.9% more
Western Kentucky: 2.6 vs Campbellsville: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
Western Kentucky: 72.7% vs Campbellsville: 66.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBVU Score 86.0 59
WKU Score 105.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 33.1 42.0 / 31.0
Assists 11.6 / 13.9 22.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.3 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.1 / 38.0 50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 66.4 83.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 41.8 / 37.3 49.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.9 / 3.3 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 14.9 8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBVU
--
WKU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBVU
--
WKU Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CBVU
--
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
CBVU
WKU
CBVU
ML
56% 18-14
100% 1-0
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
ATS
53% 17-15
100% 1-0
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
TTL
56% 18-14
100% 1-0
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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