LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
5-6 | Road
53
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
8-4 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
LONGHORNS
0%
DOLPHINS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEX -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
LEM By 1-7 points
0.8%
LEM By 8-14 points
0.1%
TEX By 1-7 points
4.8%
TEX By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Le Moyne
40
LE MOYNE
Texas
63
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Le Moyne
58
LE MOYNE
Texas
89
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
LEM @ TEX
53 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Texas: 36.0
vs
Le Moyne: 33.2
Blocks (L5)
+26.7% more
Le Moyne: 3.7
vs
Texas: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+19.4% more
Le Moyne: 15.2
vs
Texas: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.9%
Le Moyne: 47.3%
vs
Texas: 34.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEM Score
40.0
53
TEX Score
63.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 47.3
32.0 / 11.0
Assists
12.3 / 15.2
17.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.7
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 51.6
50.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
75.1 / 74.9
74.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 33.2
53.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.4
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.9
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LEM
TEX
LEM
ML
58%
21-15
68%
21-10
56%
19-15
68%
21-10
ATS
56%
20-16
65%
20-11
56%
19-15
69%
22-10
TTL
64%
23-13
42%
13-18
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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