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UNLV

UNLVUNLV

10-3  |  Road

10
FINAL
Tue, Dec 23 • 9:00 PM ET
Ford Center At The Star
View Odds Details →

OHIO

OHIOOHIO

8-4  |  Home

17
Key Game
Eliah Logo
KEY GAME

Eliah Logo

#90 | Defensive Lineman
@
Magnus Haines
KEY GAME

Magnus Haines

#42 | Punter
Player
Eliah Logo None-None
Magnus Haines None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UNLV
0%
📊
OHIO
100%
UNLV --
OHIO --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
UNLV
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (UNLV)
UNLVUNLV (-3.5) 0 OhioOHIO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

UNLV Cover

99.4%

Ohio Cover

0.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around UNLV -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNLV)

UNLV By 1-6 points

1.4%

UNLV By 7-13 points

4.1%

OHIO By 1-6 points

0.4%

OHIO By 7-13 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
42
UNLV
7
OHIO
Simulated Score
27
UNLV
31
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI UNLV Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Ohio Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI UNLV (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -35.0
B
Sim Ohio (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u64.5 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
B
Sim u64.5 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 23, 2025 UNLV @ OHIO 10 - 17
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +11.0% more
UNLV: 24.3 vs Ohio: 21.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +43.3% more
Ohio: 289.7 vs UNLV: 202.2
Turnovers (L5) +42.6% more
Ohio: 1.8 vs UNLV: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNLV Score 42.0 10
OHIO Score 7.0 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.6 / 24.3 19.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 289.7 / 202.2 207.0 / 97.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.36 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 423.3 / 456.3 350.0 / 281.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 1.3 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNLV
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.4
OHIO
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNLV Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.4
OHIO
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNLV
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -6.3
OHIO
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
UNLV
OHIO
UNLV
ML
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
100% 5-0
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
TTL
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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