Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Royals @ Razorbacks QUC @ ARK

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

5-6  |  Road

80
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 9:00 PM ET
Bud Walton Arena
View Odds Details →

ARKANSAS

RAZORBACKSARK

8-2  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
📊
RAZORBACKS
0%
ROYALS --
RAZORBACKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Arkansas)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 RazorbacksARK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

46.0%

Razorbacks Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARK)

QUC By 1-7 points

24.3%

QUC By 8-14 points

13.7%

ARK By 1-7 points

26.2%

ARK By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
39
ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
61
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
88
ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Razorbacks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Razorbacks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Razorbacks (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Razorbacks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u169.5 Loss
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u169.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 QUC @ ARK 80 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.0% more
Arkansas: 5.0 vs Queens University: 3.3
Steals (L5) +32.8% more
Arkansas: 7.7 vs Queens University: 5.8
Rebounding (L5) +28.8% more
Arkansas: 39.2 vs Queens University: 30.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Arkansas: 41.8% vs Queens University: 37.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 38.0 80
ARK Score 39.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.8 / 37.2 50.0 / 24.0
Assists 17.2 / 19.0 26.0 / 12.0
Blocks 5.0 / 3.3 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 48.1 56.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 72.6 81.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 39.2 / 30.4 33.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.8 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.4 / 10.0 14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
ARK Advantage
28-9-0 (75.7%)
Margin: 9.2 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
ARK Advantage
23-14-0 (62.2%)
Margin: 9.2 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
ARK
22-15-0
O: 59.5% / U: 40.5% Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARK
QUC
ARK
QUC
ML
68% 25-12
71% 25-10
81% 25-6
71% 24-10
ATS
70% 26-11
86% 30-5
81% 25-6
71% 24-10
TTL
57% 21-16
47% 16-18-1
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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