RIDER
BRONCSRID
1-8 | Road
57
DELAWARE
BLUE HENSDEL
3-7 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCS
100%
BLUE HENS
0%
BRONCS
--
BLUE HENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Delaware)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)
RID By 1-7 points
13.7%
RID By 8-14 points
4.8%
DEL By 1-7 points
25.3%
DEL By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Rider
80
RIDER
Delaware
88
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
Rider
69
RIDER
Delaware
74
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Blue Hens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
RID @ DEL
57 - 65
Nov 30, 2024
DEL @ RID
72 - 66
Dec 20, 2023
RID @ DEL
88 - 85
Dec 19, 2022
DEL @ RID
60 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+111.7% more
Delaware: 14.9
vs
Rider: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+20.9%
Delaware: 76.4%
vs
Rider: 55.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Delaware: 37.8%
vs
Rider: 30.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Delaware: 45.1%
vs
Rider: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RID Score
80.0
57
DEL Score
88.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 30.0
31.0 / 16.0
Assists
14.9 / 7.0
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.9 / 5.3
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 37.4
47.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 55.5
80.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 36.4
32.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.4
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 14.7
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
DEL
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
RID
DEL
RID
ML
45%
14-17
72%
21-8
52%
16-15
66%
19-10
ATS
61%
19-12
72%
21-8
52%
16-15
66%
19-10
TTL
65%
20-11
62%
18-11
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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