PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
16-9-6 | Road
4
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
17-11-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 1.00 | 0.955 | -- |
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 3.10 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.10
0.955 Ldr
Save %
0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
CANADIENS
100%
FLYERS
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
MTL @ PHI
2 - 4
Dec 16, 2025
PHI @ MTL
4 - 1
Nov 4, 2025
PHI @ MTL
5 - 4
Apr 5, 2025
PHI @ MTL
2 - 3
Mar 27, 2025
MTL @ PHI
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+20.6% more
Philadelphia: 5.1
vs
Montreal: 4.0
Hits (L5)
+16.4% more
Philadelphia: 23.4
vs
Montreal: 19.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.9%
Philadelphia: 51.7%
vs
Montreal: 48.8%
Power Play % (L5)
+26.4%
Montreal: 29.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 2.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
4
MTL Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 17.1
10.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 51.7
32.8 / 67.2
Hits
19.6 / 23.4
21.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
2931.0 / 287.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 23.9
22.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.1
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
PHI
MTL
PHI
ML
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
100%
4-0
40%
2-3
TTL
25%
1-3
20%
1-4
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
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NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …