CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
13-13-6 | Road
2
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
14-12-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Troy Stecher
#28 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 3.05 | 0.889 | -- |
| Troy Stecher | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.05
GAA
--
0.889
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CHI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1 goal
17.5%
CHI By 2-3 goals
37.2%
TOR By 1 goal
6.6%
TOR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Toronto
1
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
CHI @ TOR
2 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
TOR @ CHI
2 - 3
Feb 23, 2025
TOR @ CHI
5 - 2
Dec 2, 2024
CHI @ TOR
1 - 4
Nov 24, 2023
TOR @ CHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+54.3% more
Toronto: 6.3
vs
Chicago: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.2% more
Toronto: 15.0
vs
Chicago: 11.0
Hits (L5)
+13.7% more
Toronto: 22.6
vs
Chicago: 19.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.7%
Toronto: 55.2%
vs
Chicago: 46.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
3.0
2
TOR Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 11.0
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
55.2 / 46.5
57.1 / 42.9
Hits
22.6 / 19.8
29.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
8.7 / 8.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.0 / 26.2
27.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 4.1
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHI
TOR
CHI
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
4-0
33%
1-2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1-1
Contextual Game News
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