CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
13-16-4 | Road
3
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
16-14-3 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 5.19 | 0.800 | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 3.00 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.19
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.800
Save %
Ldr 0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
SHARKS
0%
FLAMES
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
CGY @ SJ
4 - 1
Jan 31, 2026
SJ @ CGY
2 - 3
Dec 16, 2025
CGY @ SJ
3 - 6
Nov 13, 2025
SJ @ CGY
0 - 2
Apr 13, 2025
SJ @ CGY
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+30.0% more
San Jose: 21.0
vs
Calgary: 16.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.8% more
San Jose: 15.9
vs
Calgary: 14.1
Power Play % (L5)
+7.9%
San Jose: 16.5%
vs
Calgary: 8.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+18.7% more
Calgary: 5.4
vs
San Jose: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
3
SJ Score
4.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 14.1
25.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
44.4 / 50.9
54.8 / 45.2
Hits
21.0 / 16.2
24.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
1654.0 / 868.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 32.9
26.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
CGY
SJ
CGY
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers