NORTH ALABAMA
LIONSUNA
5-4 | Road
60
ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
5-4 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
LIONS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NORTH ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (North Alabama)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNA)
UNA By 1-7 points
20.1%
UNA By 8-14 points
27.2%
AAMU By 1-7 points
8.0%
AAMU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
North Alabama
83
NORTH ALABAMA
Alabama A&M
71
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
North Alabama
68
NORTH ALABAMA
Alabama A&M
72
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 15, 2025
UNA @ AAMU
60 - 68
Nov 9, 2023
AAMU @ UNA
67 - 83
Nov 10, 2022
UNA @ AAMU
84 - 76
Dec 8, 2021
AAMU @ UNA
45 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.1% more
North Alabama: 6.4
vs
Alabama A&M: 4.6
Blocks (L5)
+14.8% more
North Alabama: 4.1
vs
Alabama A&M: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+13.6% more
North Alabama: 11.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.9%
North Alabama: 76.7%
vs
Alabama A&M: 69.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNA Score
83.0
60
AAMU Score
71.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 28.3
23.0 / 42.0
Assists
9.8 / 11.3
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 42.8
38.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 76.7
68.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 39.8
42.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.4
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 10.6
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNA
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNA
10-17-1
(37.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.4
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
UNA
AAMU
UNA
ML
55%
16-13
43%
13-17
67%
16-8
57%
16-12
ATS
55%
16-13
60%
18-12
67%
16-8
57%
16-12
TTL
66%
19-10
63%
19-11
100%
24-0
100%
28-0
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