Home / NBA Projections NBA / Spurs @ Knicks SA @ NY

SAN ANTONIO

SPURSSA

62-20  |  Road

113
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 8:30 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
SPURS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
250.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (San Antonio)
SpursSA (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spurs Cover

98.6%

Knicks Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)

SA By 1-7 points

5.8%

SA By 8-14 points

15.3%

NY By 1-7 points

1.1%

NY By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
136
SAN ANTONIO
114
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
110
SAN ANTONIO
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spurs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spurs (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o234.0 Win
Proj Total: 250.0
D
Sim u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 13, 2026 NY @ SA 94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026 SA @ NY 106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026 SA @ NY 115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026 NY @ SA 105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026 NY @ SA 105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.0% more
San Antonio: 15.1 vs New York: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
San Antonio: 77.3% vs New York: 75.2%
Blocks (L5) +51.7% more
New York: 5.9 vs San Antonio: 3.9
Field Goal % (L5) +7.7%
New York: 53.7% vs San Antonio: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SA Score 136.0 113
NY Score 114.0 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.8 / 37.9 38.0 / 36.0
Assists 25.5 / 24.1 27.0 / 29.0
Blocks 5.9 / 3.9 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 53.7 / 45.9 47.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 77.3 73.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 45.2 / 47.3 59.0 / 42.0
Steals 8.7 / 8.1 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 15.1 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA Advantage
75-31-0 (70.8%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA Advantage
60-44-2 (57.7%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: -1.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
SA
NY
SA
ML
61% 114-72
60% 111-73
56% 57-45
58% 61-44
ATS
67% 124-62
58% 107-76-1
56% 57-45
58% 61-44
TTL
72% 133-53
74% 134-47-3
100% 102-0
100% 105-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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