SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
6-19 | Road
103
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
16-9 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
KINGS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
16.9%
SAC By 8-14 points
26.2%
MIN By 1-7 points
5.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
98
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
114
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025
MIN @ SAC
112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025
MIN @ SAC
144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025
SAC @ MIN
116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.4% more
Sacramento: 9.0
vs
Minnesota: 6.5
Blocks (L5)
+23.1% more
Sacramento: 4.7
vs
Minnesota: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+16.9% more
Minnesota: 27.9
vs
Sacramento: 23.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
Minnesota: 76.7%
vs
Sacramento: 68.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
112.0
103
MIN Score
98.0
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 32.2
32.0 / 43.0
Assists
27.9 / 23.9
25.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.7
5.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 46.4
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 68.6
70.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 41.6
48.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.0
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 14.7
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SAC
MIN
SAC
ML
54%
63-53
55%
55-45
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
ATS
58%
67-49
54%
52-45-3
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
TTL
63%
72-43-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0
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