PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
16-9-5 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
20-9-2 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 1.88 | 0.938 | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 1.85 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.88
GAA
Ldr 1.85
0.938 Ldr
Save %
0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
FLYERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 9, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 7, 2026
CAR @ PHI
4 - 1
May 4, 2026
PHI @ CAR
2 - 3
May 2, 2026
PHI @ CAR
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+55.2% more
Carolina: 6.4
vs
Philadelphia: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+30.5% more
Carolina: 29.9
vs
Philadelphia: 22.9
Power Play % (L5)
+5.6%
Carolina: 10.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 4.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+51.3% more
Philadelphia: 16.6
vs
Carolina: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.0
2
CAR Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
8.1 / 16.6
10.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 53.3
51.6 / 48.4
Hits
19.9 / 23.7
10.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
10.0 / 4.3
16.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 22.9
32.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 4.1
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
PHI
CAR
PHI
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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