Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Flash @ Owls SFPA @ TEM

SAINT FRANCIS

RED FLASHSFPA

2-9  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 12:00 PM ET
Liacouras Center
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

OWLSTEM

6-5  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
RED FLASH --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Temple)
Red FlashSFPA (-3.5) 0 OwlsTEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Flash Cover

4.5%

Owls Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEM -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)

SFPA By 1-7 points

3.3%

SFPA By 8-14 points

0.6%

TEM By 1-7 points

12.2%

TEM By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
51
SAINT FRANCIS
68
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
63
SAINT FRANCIS
78
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 SFPA @ TEM 67 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.3% more
Temple: 4.3 vs Saint Francis: 3.4
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Temple: 48.2% vs Saint Francis: 41.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
Temple: 73.9% vs Saint Francis: 70.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Temple: 34.8% vs Saint Francis: 32.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score 51.0 67
TEM Score 68.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 32.3 60.0 / 35.0
Assists 15.7 / 15.8 23.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.4 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 41.4 60.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 70.3 86.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 41.3 30.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.4 / 7.9 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 13.6 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
TEM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA Advantage
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
TEM
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +5.8
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
SFPA
TEM
SFPA
ML
62% 20-12
68% 21-10
67% 20-10
67% 20-10
ATS
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
67% 20-10
67% 20-10
TTL
69% 22-10
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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