Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Golden Gophers TXSO @ MINN

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TIGERSTXSO

1-7  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Williams Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

6-5  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
TIGERS --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Minnesota)
TigersTXSO (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

1.8%

Golden Gophers Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MINN -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)

TXSO By 1-7 points

1.4%

TXSO By 8-14 points

0.2%

MINN By 1-7 points

6.8%

MINN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
63
TEXAS SOUTHERN
84
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
63
TEXAS SOUTHERN
82
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 TXSO @ MINN 53 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +78.4% more
Minnesota: 15.5 vs Texas Southern: 8.7
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
Minnesota: 70.1% vs Texas Southern: 68.0%
Steals (L5) +38.9% more
Texas Southern: 7.9 vs Minnesota: 4.8
Turnovers (L5) +25.2% more
Texas Southern: 15.7 vs Minnesota: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TXSO Score 63.0 53
MINN Score 84.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 33.3 44.0 / 17.0
Assists 15.5 / 8.7 27.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.7 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 44.2 49.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 68.0 72.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 37.0 38.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.8 / 7.9 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 15.7 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TXSO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MINN Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TXSO
9-19-0 (32.1%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MINN Advantage
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
TXSO
MINN
TXSO
ML
48% 16-17
64% 18-10
71% 22-9
71% 17-7
ATS
55% 18-15
61% 17-11
71% 22-9
71% 17-7
TTL
52% 17-16
71% 20-8
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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