AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
TIGERS
0%
WILDCATS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Missouri)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)
BCU By 1-7 points
24.3%
BCU By 8-14 points
13.7%
MIZ By 1-7 points
26.2%
MIZ By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethune-Cookman
84
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Missouri
85
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
Bethune-Cookman
57
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Missouri
82
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
BCU @ MIZ
60 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.1% more
Missouri: 11.7
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 9.4
Assists (L5)
+13.3% more
Missouri: 14.8
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 13.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.7%
Missouri: 51.5%
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 41.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Missouri: 37.5%
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCU Score
84.0
60
MIZ Score
85.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 33.0
37.0 / 50.0
Assists
14.8 / 13.0
16.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.3
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 41.8
58.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 74.9
64.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 34.2
34.0 / 20.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.2
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 9.4
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
MIZ
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
MIZ
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.3
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
BCU
MIZ
BCU
ML
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
79%
22-6
ATS
70%
23-10
65%
20-11
69%
22-10
79%
22-6
TTL
79%
26-7
48%
15-16
100%
32-0
100%
28-0