CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
2-9 | Road
84
LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
3-8 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
RAMBLERS
0%
COUGARS
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
CHST By 1-7 points
21.6%
CHST By 8-14 points
10.7%
LUC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LUC By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago State
83
CHICAGO STATE
Loyola Chicago
86
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Chicago State
59
CHICAGO STATE
Loyola Chicago
78
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
CHST @ LUC
84 - 75
Nov 4, 2024
CHST @ LUC
72 - 79
Nov 28, 2023
CHST @ LUC
53 - 62
Nov 16, 2021
CHST @ LUC
56 - 92
Dec 9, 2020
CHST @ LUC
51 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+336.0% more
Loyola Chicago: 4.0
vs
Chicago State: 0.6
Assists (L5)
+63.1% more
Loyola Chicago: 13.3
vs
Chicago State: 8.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.3%
Loyola Chicago: 46.2%
vs
Chicago State: 37.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Loyola Chicago: 31.3%
vs
Chicago State: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHST Score
83.0
84
LUC Score
86.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 28.3
29.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.3 / 8.2
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.0 / 0.6
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 37.9
36.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
65.4 / 78.4
64.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 36.6
45.0 / 36.0
Steals
3.1 / 8.6
4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 14.2
17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
LUC
Advantage
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
CHST
LUC
CHST
ML
55%
18-15
75%
24-8
50%
16-16
73%
22-8
ATS
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
50%
16-16
73%
22-8
TTL
76%
25-8
44%
14-18
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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