Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sycamores @ Panthers INST @ MILW

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

6-4  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 2:00 PM ET
UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

4-5  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
SYCAMORES
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
SYCAMORES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
INDIANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Indiana State)
SycamoresINST (-3.5) 0 PanthersMILW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sycamores Cover

97.7%

Panthers Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around INST -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (INST)

INST By 1-7 points

8.0%

INST By 8-14 points

18.6%

MILW By 1-7 points

1.7%

MILW By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
98
INDIANA STATE
78
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
71
INDIANA STATE
82
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sycamores Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sycamores (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 INST @ MILW 70 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.7% more
Indiana State: 12.4 vs Milwaukee: 10.1
Assists (L5) +15.7% more
Indiana State: 19.2 vs Milwaukee: 16.2
Free Throw % (L5) +12.4%
Indiana State: 79.1% vs Milwaukee: 66.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Indiana State: 48.3% vs Milwaukee: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
INST Score 98.0 70
MILW Score 78.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 33.2 19.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.2 / 19.2 11.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.1 / 1.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 48.3 36.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 79.1 79.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 38.9 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.0 11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 12.4 6.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
INST
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
MILW Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
INST
MILW
INST
ML
50% 16-16
66% 21-11
69% 22-10
53% 17-15
ATS
47% 15-17
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
53% 17-15
TTL
59% 19-13
53% 17-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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