WASHINGTON STATE
COUGARSWSU
3-8 | Road
61
USC
TROJANSUSC
10-1 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
TROJANS
0%
COUGARS
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (USC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)
WSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
WSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
USC By 1-7 points
21.6%
USC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington State
52
WASHINGTON STATE
USC
63
USC
Simulated Score
Washington State
71
WASHINGTON STATE
USC
76
USC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trojans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trojans (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
WSU @ USC
61 - 68
Feb 29, 2024
USC @ WSU
72 - 75
Jan 10, 2024
WSU @ USC
72 - 64
Feb 2, 2023
WSU @ USC
70 - 80
Jan 1, 2023
USC @ WSU
71 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.0% more
USC: 5.1
vs
Washington State: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
USC: 13.9
vs
Washington State: 11.4
Steals (L5)
+20.4% more
USC: 5.7
vs
Washington State: 4.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
USC: 51.8%
vs
Washington State: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSU Score
52.0
61
USC Score
63.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.3 / 36.7
8.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.9 / 11.4
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.7
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 44.0
40.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 77.4
79.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 34.3
35.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.7 / 4.7
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 15.2
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
USC
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
USC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USC
WSU
USC
WSU
ML
52%
16-15
78%
25-7
58%
18-13
69%
20-9
ATS
68%
21-10
78%
25-7
58%
18-13
69%
20-9
TTL
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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