MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
11-15 | Road
82
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
6-18 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
NETS
100%
BUCKS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
8.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
18.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
1.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
125
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
105
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
109
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.5
Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u215.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
BKN @ MIL
108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026
MIL @ BKN
90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025
MIL @ BKN
82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025
BKN @ MIL
99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025
BKN @ MIL
113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Milwaukee: 50.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 46.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Milwaukee: 41.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 38.6%
Blocks (L5)
+29.7% more
Brooklyn: 5.8
vs
Milwaukee: 4.5
Turnovers (L5)
+16.4% more
Brooklyn: 17.8
vs
Milwaukee: 15.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
125.0
82
BKN Score
105.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 41.3
44.0 / 23.0
Assists
28.1 / 26.9
33.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.5
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 50.9
53.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 75.4
95.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
42.8 / 38.4
43.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.4 / 7.5
14.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 15.3
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MIL
BKN
MIL
ML
53%
50-45
64%
61-35
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
ATS
52%
48-44-3
68%
65-31
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
TTL
57%
54-41
55%
53-43
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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