BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
13-14-4 | Road
3
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
12-11-6 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 2.02 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.02
0.958 Ldr
Save %
0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
KRAKEN
100%
SABRES
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SEA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
SEA By 1 goal
12.1%
SEA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kraken (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Kraken (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
SEA @ BUF
2 - 3
Dec 14, 2025
BUF @ SEA
3 - 1
Jan 20, 2025
BUF @ SEA
4 - 6
Jan 11, 2025
SEA @ BUF
6 - 2
Mar 18, 2024
BUF @ SEA
6 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+28.9% more
Buffalo: 6.2
vs
Seattle: 4.4
Power Play % (L5)
+19.8%
Buffalo: 37.2%
vs
Seattle: 17.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.4% more
Seattle: 31.2
vs
Buffalo: 25.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.0% more
Seattle: 18.5
vs
Buffalo: 16.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.0
3
SEA Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 16.0
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 42.9
53.2 / 46.8
Hits
16.6 / 15.9
24.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
17.4 / 37.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.2 / 25.1
24.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 6.2
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
BUF
SEA
BUF
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
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