BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
4-7 | Road
64
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
3-5 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
BIG GREEN
0%
TERRIERS
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DART -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
BU By 1-7 points
9.3%
BU By 8-14 points
2.7%
DART By 1-7 points
21.6%
DART By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
64
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Dartmouth
75
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Boston University
65
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Dartmouth
68
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Green (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
BU @ DART
64 - 77
Nov 16, 2024
DART @ BU
50 - 78
Dec 13, 2023
BU @ DART
54 - 63
Dec 13, 2022
DART @ BU
59 - 67
Dec 11, 2021
BU @ DART
65 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+10.4% more
Dartmouth: 14.6
vs
Boston University: 13.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Dartmouth: 69.6%
vs
Boston University: 62.7%
Steals (L5)
+18.5% more
Boston University: 5.7
vs
Dartmouth: 4.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Boston University: 46.9%
vs
Dartmouth: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
64.0
64
DART Score
75.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 38.9
39.0 / 27.0
Assists
13.0 / 13.5
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 46.9
43.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 62.7
73.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 32.3
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
4.6 / 5.7
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 13.2
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
BU
DART
BU
ML
62%
16-10
68%
23-11
50%
13-13
62%
21-13
ATS
65%
17-9
62%
21-13
50%
13-13
62%
21-13
TTL
88%
23-3
65%
22-12
100%
26-0
100%
34-0
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