COASTAL CAROLINA
CHANTICLEERSCCU
6-4 | Road
61
GRAND CANYON
LOPESGCU
5-4 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
LOPES
0%
CHANTICLEERS
--
LOPES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
GRAND CANYON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Grand Canyon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GCU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GCU)
CCU By 1-7 points
6.8%
CCU By 8-14 points
1.7%
GCU By 1-7 points
18.6%
GCU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Carolina
62
COASTAL CAROLINA
Grand Canyon
75
GRAND CANYON
Simulated Score
Coastal Carolina
71
COASTAL CAROLINA
Grand Canyon
78
GRAND CANYON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lopes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lopes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lopes (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Lopes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
CCU @ GCU
61 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+82.6% more
Grand Canyon: 7.7
vs
Coastal Carolina: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+30.2% more
Grand Canyon: 13.7
vs
Coastal Carolina: 10.5
Turnovers (L5)
+23.5% more
Grand Canyon: 12.0
vs
Coastal Carolina: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Grand Canyon: 43.5%
vs
Coastal Carolina: 40.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCU Score
62.0
61
GCU Score
75.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.8 / 37.7
30.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.7 / 10.5
19.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.7
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 40.6
37.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 73.7
85.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 39.7
54.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.7 / 4.2
2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 9.7
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
GCU
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
GCU
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GCU
CCU
GCU
CCU
ML
66%
21-11
41%
13-19
68%
21-10
55%
17-14
ATS
72%
23-9
38%
12-20
68%
21-10
55%
17-14
TTL
44%
14-18
75%
24-8
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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