Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bears @ Tigers MER @ CLEM

MERCER

BEARSMER

7-2  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 3:00 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

7-3  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
BEARS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Clemson)
BearsMER (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

1.4%

Tigers Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLEM -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

MER By 1-7 points

1.1%

MER By 8-14 points

0.1%

CLEM By 1-7 points

5.8%

CLEM By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
57
MERCER
79
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
60
MERCER
78
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 MER @ CLEM 63 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.5% more
Clemson: 3.2 vs Mercer: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5) +16.1%
Clemson: 80.3% vs Mercer: 64.2%
Steals (L5) +43.9% more
Mercer: 11.1 vs Clemson: 6.2
Assists (L5) +15.5% more
Mercer: 17.1 vs Clemson: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MER Score 57.0 63
CLEM Score 79.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 33.7 31.0 / 27.0
Assists 14.5 / 17.1 9.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.3 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 46.0 46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 80.3 / 64.2 75.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 41.0 / 43.3 36.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.2 / 11.1 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 9.9 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MER
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +1.1
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MER Advantage
19-10-0 (65.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +1.1
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MER
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.3
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
MER
CLEM
MER
ML
63% 22-13
55% 17-14
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
ATS
71% 25-10
58% 18-13
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
TTL
69% 24-11
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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