AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
BRUINS
0%
FLAMES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Belmont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BEL -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
UIC By 1-7 points
10.7%
UIC By 8-14 points
3.3%
BEL By 1-7 points
23.0%
BEL By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
73
UIC
Belmont
83
BELMONT
Simulated Score
UIC
72
UIC
Belmont
78
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 6, 2026
BEL @ UIC
68 - 62
Dec 13, 2025
UIC @ BEL
84 - 87
Jan 4, 2025
UIC @ BEL
87 - 92
Feb 18, 2024
BEL @ UIC
75 - 60
Jan 27, 2024
UIC @ BEL
65 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+77.3% more
Belmont: 19.5
vs
UIC: 11.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.3%
Belmont: 40.6%
vs
UIC: 27.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.9%
Belmont: 52.0%
vs
UIC: 39.1%
Blocks (L5)
+47.4% more
UIC: 5.8
vs
Belmont: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
73.0
84
BEL Score
83.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.6 / 27.3
52.0 / 41.0
Assists
19.5 / 11.0
17.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.1 / 5.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 39.1
58.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
52.1 / 77.2
73.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 38.3
32.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.5
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 12.6
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
UIC
BEL
UIC
ML
47%
15-17
57%
20-15
62%
20-12
44%
15-19
ATS
56%
18-14
54%
19-16
62%
20-12
44%
15-19
TTL
44%
14-18
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
34-0