Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinal @ Spartans STAN @ SJSU

STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

8-2  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Provident Credit Union Event Center
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSÉ STATE

SPARTANSSJSU

5-6  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
0%
📊
SPARTANS
100%
CARDINAL --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Stanford)
CardinalSTAN (-3.5) 0 SpartansSJSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinal Cover

100.0%

Spartans Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STAN -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)

STAN By 1-7 points

0.4%

STAN By 8-14 points

2.2%

SJSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SJSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
STANFORD
63
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Simulated Score
65
STANFORD
78
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinal Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cardinal (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 STAN @ SJSU 86 - 82
Nov 15, 2021 SJSU @ STAN 62 - 76
Dec 14, 2019 STAN @ SJSU 78 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.2% more
Stanford: 3.9 vs San José State: 2.4
Steals (L5) +24.0% more
Stanford: 9.3 vs San José State: 7.1
Rebounding (L5) +10.8% more
Stanford: 38.6 vs San José State: 34.4
Turnovers (L5) +16.5% more
San José State: 13.4 vs Stanford: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STAN Score 97.0 86
SJSU Score 63.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 35.2 35.0 / 50.0
Assists 11.7 / 12.7 12.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 42.0 45.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 72.4 / 69.0 90.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 38.6 19.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.1 / 9.3 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 11.5 8.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
SJSU
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
SJSU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
SJSU
21-11-0
O: 65.6% / U: 34.4% Total +/-: +5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJSU
STAN
SJSU
STAN
ML
73% 24-9
48% 16-17
62% 20-12
50% 16-16
ATS
73% 24-9
48% 16-17
62% 20-12
50% 16-16
TTL
61% 20-13
55% 18-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day, 2 hours ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 14 hours ago
Lee University Basketball Alum Todd Amburgy: A Legacy of Defense…
chattanoogan 5 days, 21 hours ago
Michigan State's Exhibition Win Reveals Key Player Development a…
yahoo 5 days, 21 hours ago
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
sportingnews 5 days, 22 hours ago