CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
19-9-2 | Road
4
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
16-9-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Nick Seeler
#24 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.77 | 0.833 | -- |
| Nick Seeler | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77
GAA
--
0.833
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
FLYERS
100%
HURRICANES
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 9, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 7, 2026
CAR @ PHI
4 - 1
May 4, 2026
PHI @ CAR
2 - 3
May 2, 2026
PHI @ CAR
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+29.0% more
Carolina: 6.6
vs
Philadelphia: 4.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.2% more
Carolina: 34.3
vs
Philadelphia: 25.4
Power Play % (L5)
+8.5%
Carolina: 14.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 6.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
Carolina: 56.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 51.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
4
PHI Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.4 / 10.6
21.0 / 3.0
Faceoff %
51.7 / 56.0
56.5 / 43.5
Hits
21.5 / 20.4
28.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
645.0 / 1493.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.4 / 34.3
18.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 6.6
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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