CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
12-16-4 | Road
2
LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
14-8-8 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 0.98 | 0.955 | -- |
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 1.96 | 0.947 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.98 Ldr
GAA
1.96
0.955 Ldr
Save %
0.947
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
KINGS
100%
FLAMES
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
LA By 1 goal
12.1%
LA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Los Angeles
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 16, 2026
LA @ CGY
1 - 3
Mar 24, 2026
LA @ CGY
2 - 3
Feb 28, 2026
CGY @ LA
0 - 2
Dec 13, 2025
CGY @ LA
2 - 1
Apr 17, 2025
CGY @ LA
5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+26.1% more
Calgary: 5.5
vs
Los Angeles: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.4% more
Calgary: 30.3
vs
Los Angeles: 27.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.6%
Calgary: 52.7%
vs
Los Angeles: 50.1%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.9% more
Los Angeles: 15.0
vs
Calgary: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
2
LA Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 13.1
15.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 52.7
52.9 / 47.1
Hits
17.4 / 18.3
13.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
1498.0 / 1302.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.2 / 30.3
22.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 5.5
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
CGY
LA
CGY
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
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