Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Matadors @ Blue Hens CSUN @ DEL

CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE

MATADORSCSUN

5-5  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 1:00 PM ET
Bob Carpenter Center
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

3-6  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
MATADORS
100%
📊
BLUE HENS
0%
MATADORS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Delaware)
MatadorsCSUN (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Matadors Cover

1.8%

Blue Hens Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEL -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)

CSUN By 1-7 points

1.4%

CSUN By 8-14 points

0.2%

DEL By 1-7 points

6.8%

DEL By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
78
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
99
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
68
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
75
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 CSUN @ DEL 88 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +118.6% more
Delaware: 3.9 vs Cal State Northridge: 1.8
Turnovers (L5) +28.3% more
Delaware: 15.6 vs Cal State Northridge: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
Delaware: 40.2% vs Cal State Northridge: 33.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Delaware: 47.7% vs Cal State Northridge: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUN Score 78.0 88
DEL Score 99.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 33.1 33.0 / 48.0
Assists 15.3 / 16.8 14.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.8 7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 45.5 40.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 73.6 78.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 35.0 30.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.4 / 5.9 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 12.2 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUN Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUN
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +2.4
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
CSUN
DEL
CSUN
ML
45% 14-17
58% 19-14
52% 16-15
67% 22-11
ATS
61% 19-12
58% 19-14
52% 16-15
67% 22-11
TTL
65% 20-11
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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