Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Wildcats JKST @ NU

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

1-8  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 2:00 PM ET
Welsh-Ryan Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

5-4  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
TIGERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Northwestern)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 WildcatsNU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

8.1%

Wildcats Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)

JKST By 1-7 points

5.8%

JKST By 8-14 points

1.4%

NU By 1-7 points

16.9%

NU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
59
JACKSON STATE
73
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
55
JACKSON STATE
78
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 JKST @ NU 53 - 93
Dec 29, 2023 JKST @ NU 63 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +123.1% more
Northwestern: 18.4 vs Jackson State: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +19.8% more
Northwestern: 3.0 vs Jackson State: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5) +13.7%
Northwestern: 48.4% vs Jackson State: 34.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.9%
Northwestern: 81.2% vs Jackson State: 72.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 59.0 53
NU Score 73.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 30.1 27.0 / 24.0
Assists 18.4 / 8.3 21.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.5 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 34.6 50.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 72.3 77.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 30.7 45.0 / 29.0
Steals 4.5 / 6.8 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 18.1 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
NU Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
NU Advantage
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
JKST
NU
JKST
ML
47% 16-18
77% 24-7
68% 23-11
73% 19-7
ATS
50% 17-17
77% 24-7
68% 23-11
73% 19-7
TTL
53% 18-16
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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