Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Pioneers CSUF @ DEN

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

4-7  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 4:00 PM ET
Hamilton Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

DENVER

PIONEERSDEN

5-6  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
PIONEERS
0%
TITANS --
PIONEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Denver)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 PioneersDEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

1.8%

Pioneers Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

CSUF By 1-7 points

1.4%

CSUF By 8-14 points

0.2%

DEN By 1-7 points

6.8%

DEN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
62
CAL STATE FULLERTON
83
DENVER
Simulated Score
74
CAL STATE FULLERTON
68
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pioneers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pioneers (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Titans (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 CSUF @ DEN 105 - 86
Dec 15, 2024 DEN @ CSUF 59 - 74
Nov 29, 2019 CSUF @ DEN 62 - 65
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.4%
Denver: 38.9% vs Cal State Fullerton: 27.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.7%
Denver: 78.5% vs Cal State Fullerton: 70.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Denver: 52.1% vs Cal State Fullerton: 48.7%
Assists (L5) +30.9% more
Cal State Fullerton: 17.1 vs Denver: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 62.0 105
DEN Score 83.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 27.5 36.0 / 52.0
Assists 11.8 / 17.1 13.0 / 21.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.2 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 52.1 / 48.7 46.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 78.5 / 70.8 64.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 40.1 35.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.6 3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.5 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
DEN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
DEN
17-11-1 (60.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
CSUF
DEN
CSUF
ML
56% 18-14
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
76% 26-8
ATS
66% 21-11
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
76% 26-8
TTL
59% 19-13
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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