NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
10-0 | Road
83
ILLINOIS
FIGHTING ILLINIILL
8-2 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
100%
FIGHTING ILLINI
0%
CORNHUSKERS
--
FIGHTING ILLINI
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ILL -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ILL)
NEB By 1-7 points
2.2%
NEB By 8-14 points
0.4%
ILL By 1-7 points
9.3%
ILL By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
57
NEBRASKA
Illinois
76
ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Nebraska
72
NEBRASKA
Illinois
78
ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Illini
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Fighting Illini
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Illini (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Fighting Illini (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
ILL @ NEB
78 - 69
Dec 13, 2025
NEB @ ILL
83 - 80
Jan 30, 2025
ILL @ NEB
74 - 80
Mar 16, 2024
NEB @ ILL
87 - 98
Feb 4, 2024
NEB @ ILL
84 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.6% more
Illinois: 4.9
vs
Nebraska: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Illinois: 79.8%
vs
Nebraska: 77.4%
Steals (L5)
+52.8% more
Nebraska: 6.1
vs
Illinois: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+23.6% more
Nebraska: 17.1
vs
Illinois: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
57.0
83
ILL Score
76.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 34.9
34.0 / 46.0
Assists
13.1 / 17.1
18.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 48.2
48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 77.4
70.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 38.7
34.0 / 27.0
Steals
2.9 / 6.1
2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 9.8
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
ILL
28-9-0
(75.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
ILL
Advantage
22-15-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
ILL
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ILL
NEB
ILL
NEB
ML
65%
24-13
51%
18-17
57%
20-15
62%
21-13
ATS
70%
26-11
54%
19-16
57%
20-15
62%
21-13
TTL
57%
21-16
63%
22-13
100%
35-0
100%
34-0
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