KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
7-3 | Road
77
NC STATE
WOLFPACKNCSU
7-3 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
100%
WOLFPACK
0%
JAYHAWKS
--
WOLFPACK
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (NC State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCSU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)
KU By 1-7 points
0.0%
KU By 8-14 points
0.0%
NCSU By 1-7 points
0.5%
NCSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas
57
KANSAS
NC State
90
NC STATE
Simulated Score
Kansas
71
KANSAS
NC State
78
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolfpack
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolfpack
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolfpack (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Wolfpack (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
KU @ NCSU
77 - 76
Dec 14, 2024
NCSU @ KU
60 - 75
Nov 23, 2022
NCSU @ KU
74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+99.0% more
NC State: 8.2
vs
Kansas: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+22.7% more
NC State: 16.8
vs
Kansas: 13.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
NC State: 48.8%
vs
Kansas: 42.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
NC State: 37.8%
vs
Kansas: 35.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KU Score
57.0
77
NCSU Score
90.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 35.6
26.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.8 / 13.7
16.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.1 / 6.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 42.9
38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 75.9
73.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 38.8
44.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.2 / 4.1
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 10.2
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
NCSU
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
NCSU
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2%
Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
KU
NCSU
KU
ML
59%
20-14
57%
20-15
55%
18-15
68%
21-10
ATS
71%
24-10
49%
17-18
55%
18-15
68%
21-10
TTL
71%
24-10
60%
21-14
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
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