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ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

9-2  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Lee's Family Forum
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

8-3  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
SUN DEVILS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
SUN DEVILS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
185.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Santa Clara)
Sun DevilsASU (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sun Devils Cover

46.0%

Broncos Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)

ASU By 1-7 points

24.3%

ASU By 8-14 points

13.7%

SCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

SCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
92
ARIZONA STATE
93
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
70
ARIZONA STATE
73
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o177.5 Loss
Proj Total: 185.0
D
Sim u177.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 ASU @ SCU 82 - 79
Nov 8, 2024 SCU @ ASU 74 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +34.1% more
Santa Clara: 17.9 vs Arizona State: 13.3
Steals (L5) +22.3% more
Santa Clara: 8.0 vs Arizona State: 6.5
Turnovers (L5) +9.1% more
Santa Clara: 12.7 vs Arizona State: 11.6
Blocks (L5) +9.8% more
Arizona State: 4.1 vs Santa Clara: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ASU Score 92.0 82
SCU Score 93.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 39.7 34.0 / 48.0
Assists 17.9 / 13.3 16.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.7 / 4.1 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 48.0 42.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 72.3 82.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 34.5 31.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.5 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 11.6 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
SCU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
ASU
SCU
ASU
ML
44% 15-19
52% 17-16
73% 22-8
68% 21-10
ATS
53% 18-16
52% 17-16
74% 23-8
68% 21-10
TTL
47% 16-18
64% 21-12
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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