SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
14-14-3 | Road
3
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
14-11-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Troy Stecher
#28 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 1.94 | 0.933 | -- |
| Troy Stecher | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.94
GAA
--
0.933
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
SHARKS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
TOR By 1 goal
19.7%
TOR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Simulated Score
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Toronto
2
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Maple Leafs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
TOR @ SJ
1 - 4
Dec 11, 2025
SJ @ TOR
3 - 2
Mar 27, 2025
TOR @ SJ
5 - 6
Mar 3, 2025
SJ @ TOR
3 - 2
Jan 9, 2024
SJ @ TOR
1 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+43.2% more
Toronto: 6.1
vs
San Jose: 4.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.9% more
Toronto: 24.8
vs
San Jose: 21.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+16.4%
Toronto: 58.5%
vs
San Jose: 42.2%
Power Play % (L5)
+15.5%
San Jose: 18.5%
vs
Toronto: 3.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
3
TOR Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 17.3
15.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
58.5 / 42.2
60.7 / 39.3
Hits
22.5 / 23.5
19.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
3.0 / 18.5
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.8 / 21.1
30.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 4.3
10.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
SJ
TOR
SJ
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
ATS
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
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