SAINT JOHN'S (MN)
JOHNNIESST. J
0-0 | Road
56
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
TOMMIESSTMN
7-4 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
JOHNNIES
0%
TOMMIES
100%
JOHNNIES
--
TOMMIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
SAINT JOHN'S (MN)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Saint John's (MN))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ST. J -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ST. J)
ST. J By 1-7 points
21.6%
ST. J By 8-14 points
27.4%
STMN By 1-7 points
9.3%
STMN By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint John's (MN)
57
SAINT JOHN'S (MN)
St. Thomas-Minnesota
46
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Saint John's (MN)
67
SAINT JOHN'S (MN)
St. Thomas-Minnesota
71
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Johnnies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tommies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Johnnies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Tommies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
ST. J @ STMN
56 - 80
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ST. J Score
57.0
56
STMN Score
46.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 0.0
32.0 / 26.0
Assists
18.2 / 0.0
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.4 / 0.0
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.9 / 0.0
51.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 0.0
53.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 0.0
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
10.0 / 0.0
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 0.0
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ST. J
--
STMN
Advantage
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ST. J
--
STMN
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ST. J
--
STMN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STMN
ST. J
STMN
ST. J
ML
64%
21-12
0%
0-1
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
23-10
0%
0-1
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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