Home / NFL Projections NFL / Raiders @ Eagles LV @ PHI

LAS VEGAS

RAIDERSLV

2-11  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

8-5  |  Home

31
Key Game
Nakobe Dean
KEY GAME

Nakobe Dean

#17 | Linebacker
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Nakobe Dean None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
RAIDERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Philadelphia)
RaidersLV (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

19.6%

Eagles Cover

80.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

LV By 1-6 points

9.3%

LV By 7-13 points

5.9%

PHI By 1-6 points

14.2%

PHI By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
15
LAS VEGAS
27
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
20
LAS VEGAS
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+13) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o37.5 Loss
Proj Total: 42.0
D
Sim u37.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 LV @ PHI 0 - 31
Oct 24, 2021 PHI @ LV 22 - 33
Dec 25, 2017 LV @ PHI 10 - 19
Nov 3, 2013 PHI @ LV 49 - 20
Oct 18, 2009 PHI @ LV 9 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +181.0% more
Philadelphia: 2.5 vs Las Vegas: 0.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +147.2% more
Philadelphia: 113.8 vs Las Vegas: 46.0
Total Yards (L5) +52.0% more
Philadelphia: 335.3 vs Las Vegas: 220.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +36.3% more
Philadelphia: 5.6 vs Las Vegas: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LV Score 15.0 0
PHI Score 27.0 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.2 / 15.4 27.0 / 7.0
Net Passing Yards 221.5 / 174.5 204.0 / 29.0
Rushing Yards 113.8 / 46.0 183.0 / 46.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.77 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.66 / 0.34
Total Yards 335.3 / 220.5 387.0 / 75.0
Turnovers 2.5 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.6 / 4.1 5.9 / 1.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LV Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LV Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LV
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LV
PHI
LV
ML
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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