Home / NFL Projections NFL / Titans @ 49ers TEN @ SF

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

2-11  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Dec 14 • 4:25 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

9-4  |  Home

37
Key Game
Joey Slye
KEY GAME

Joey Slye

#6 | Place kicker
@
Eddy Pineiro
KEY GAME

Eddy Pineiro

#18 | Place kicker
Player
Joey Slye None-None
Eddy Pineiro None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
TITANS --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (San Francisco)
TitansTEN (-3.5) 0 49ersSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

12.7%

49ers Cover

87.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SF -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

TEN By 1-6 points

6.5%

TEN By 7-13 points

3.6%

SF By 1-6 points

11.5%

SF By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
14
TENNESSEE
30
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
27
TENNESSEE
20
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 49ers (-13) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Titans (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u44.5 Loss
Proj Total: 44.0
D
Sim u44.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 TEN @ SF 24 - 37
Dec 23, 2021 SF @ TEN 17 - 20
Dec 17, 2017 TEN @ SF 23 - 25
Oct 20, 2013 SF @ TEN 31 - 17
Nov 8, 2009 TEN @ SF 34 - 27
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +55.9% more
San Francisco: 21.5 vs Tennessee: 13.8
Net Passing Yards (L5) +34.7% more
San Francisco: 199.8 vs Tennessee: 148.4
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +22.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Tennessee: 0.3
Total Yards (L5) +19.5% more
San Francisco: 306.4 vs Tennessee: 256.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEN Score 14.0 24
SF Score 30.0 37
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.5 / 13.8 28.0 / 18.0
Net Passing Yards 199.8 / 148.4 292.0 / 170.0
Rushing Yards 106.6 / 107.9 138.0 / 136.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.6 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.62 / 0.38
Total Yards 306.4 / 256.3 430.0 / 306.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.1 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.9 / 4.3 6.1 / 6.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
TEN
SF
TEN
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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