EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
3-7 | Road
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
2-7 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
COLONELS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EIU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)
EKU By 1-7 points
12.2%
EKU By 8-14 points
4.0%
EIU By 1-7 points
24.3%
EIU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Kentucky
65
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Eastern Illinois
74
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Eastern Kentucky
66
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Eastern Illinois
79
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
EKU @ EIU
68 - 59
Dec 14, 2024
EIU @ EKU
66 - 81
Nov 22, 2021
EIU @ EKU
43 - 82
Jan 16, 2021
EKU @ EIU
93 - 85
Dec 30, 2020
EIU @ EKU
61 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+49.9% more
Eastern Kentucky: 13.3
vs
Eastern Illinois: 6.7
Rebounding (L5)
+31.3% more
Eastern Kentucky: 40.9
vs
Eastern Illinois: 28.1
Assists (L5)
+22.8% more
Eastern Kentucky: 15.9
vs
Eastern Illinois: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Eastern Kentucky: 34.4%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EKU Score
65.0
68
EIU Score
74.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 34.4
33.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.3 / 15.9
14.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.9
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 44.0
40.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 71.1
86.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
28.1 / 40.9
30.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.7 / 13.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 12.4
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
EIU
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
EKU
EIU
EKU
ML
56%
18-14
44%
14-18
74%
23-8
69%
22-10
ATS
50%
16-16
56%
18-14
74%
23-8
69%
22-10
TTL
69%
22-10
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
