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IDAHO STATE

BENGALSIDST

6-4  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Dec 10 • 8:00 PM ET
UCCU Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

6-3  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
BENGALS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Utah Valley)
BengalsIDST (-3.5) 0 WolverinesUVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

0.2%

Wolverines Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

IDST By 1-7 points

0.1%

IDST By 8-14 points

0.0%

UVU By 1-7 points

1.4%

UVU By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
IDAHO STATE
106
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
68
IDAHO STATE
74
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 10, 2025 IDST @ UVU 69 - 73
Dec 18, 2024 UVU @ IDST 70 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +75.4% more
Utah Valley: 10.0 vs Idaho State: 5.7
Turnovers (L5) +53.1% more
Utah Valley: 16.0 vs Idaho State: 10.5
Assists (L5) +42.4% more
Utah Valley: 19.3 vs Idaho State: 13.6
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Utah Valley: 51.6% vs Idaho State: 47.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDST Score 77.0 69
UVU Score 106.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 36.6 24.0 / 39.0
Assists 19.3 / 13.6 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.0 / 5.7 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 47.6 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 76.8 82.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 35.0 38.0 / 25.0
Steals 10.0 / 5.7 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 16.0 / 10.5 17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDST
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDST Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.4
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
IDST
UVU
IDST
ML
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
ATS
53% 17-15
50% 16-16
74% 25-9
72% 23-9
TTL
44% 14-18
59% 19-13
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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