AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
BLUE HENS
--
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (George Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)
DEL By 1-7 points
24.3%
DEL By 8-14 points
13.7%
GW By 1-7 points
26.2%
GW By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware
70
DELAWARE
George Washington
71
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Delaware
68
DELAWARE
George Washington
75
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Revolutionaries
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Revolutionaries
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Revolutionaries (+22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Revolutionaries (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
DEL @ GW
70 - 58
Nov 26, 2023
GW @ DEL
81 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.9% more
George Washington: 3.7
vs
Delaware: 2.3
Rebounding (L5)
+16.2% more
George Washington: 36.6
vs
Delaware: 31.5
Assists (L5)
+13.7% more
George Washington: 17.0
vs
Delaware: 15.0
Steals (L5)
+13.3% more
George Washington: 6.9
vs
Delaware: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEL Score
70.0
70
GW Score
71.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 37.8
29.0 / 45.0
Assists
17.0 / 15.0
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.3
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 46.1
29.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 70.9
64.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 31.5
35.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.1
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 14.4
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
GW
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
GW
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
DEL
GW
DEL
ML
63%
22-13
45%
14-17
60%
21-14
52%
16-15
ATS
69%
24-11
61%
19-12
60%
21-14
52%
16-15
TTL
60%
21-14
65%
20-11
100%
35-0
100%
31-0